Forecast confidence: Cloud height is close to summit level at times, so small local changes could put the top in or out of cloud.
Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Assess them at the water and turn back if unsure.
Cloud-free timing: Around 25% early, improving to around 35% later.
A rough, clagged-in day on Scafell Pike: summit wind broadly 25-40 mph, with gusts 45-55 mph around midday (gale-force winds). The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives. High spate risk based on forecast rainfall. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Most likely from around 00:00 until around 03:00 the following day. Cloud base around 900–1200 m through the morning, lowering to 700–1000 m by late afternoon. Expect clag for much of the day, though a brief clearance is possible during the afternoon. Cloud height is close to summit level at times, so small local changes could put the top in or out of cloud. Cloud is likely to hang lowest on western slopes; the eastern side should see somewhat higher bases and better breaks. Sunshine is likely to be limited to about 2 hours through breaks in the cloud. Little or no rain expected. Cold on top: air temperature broadly 6 to 10°C, feeling around 0 to 4°C in the wind - wrap up. Confidence moderate (forecast models agree on the walking impact of the wind) - walker-height summit wind could reasonably be 32-37 mph, with gusts 45-53 mph. Cloud base is the least certain part of this - it could sit a couple of hundred metres either way, especially where it is close to summit level.
Sunshine and sky
Limited sunny breaks. Any sunshine is likely to come through limited breaks.
These are direct modelled sunshine hours during daylight, not the probability of sunshine. Cloud cover and summit cloud are assessed separately in the forecast above. Local hill cloud can still make an individual summit brighter or duller than the surrounding model grid.
Overnight · 6 p.m.–9 a.m.Wild campingBetaGusts near 50 mph make meaningful shelter important. 51/100Mixed · 600 m View detailsHide details
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks mixed overall around 600 m (51/100). A lower pitch near 300 m looks more comfortable; conditions are less suitable by 900 m. Open-ground gusts may reach about 50 mph, making exposed pitches a poor choice. Peak gusts increase from about 35 mph at 300 m to 50 mph at 900 m. Around 4.8 mm is forecast, with rain liable to affect both pitching and packing up. From around 600 m upward, pitches may spend part of the night in cloud, with high condensation risk, persistent damp and poor visibility; ventilation will matter. The coldest temperature falls from about 8.5°C at 300 m to 6.4°C at 900 m.
Elevation reference (open ground)
- Wind / gust
- 22 / 36 mph
- Typical / low
- 9.0° / 8.5°C · much of the night
- In cloud
- Unlikely
- Condensation
- High
- Wind / gust
- 26 / 44 mph
- Typical / low
- 8.7° / 8.3°C · much of the night
- In cloud
- 44% of night
- Condensation
- High
- Wind / gust
- 30 / 52 mph
- Typical / low
- 7.0° / 6.4°C · much of the night
- In cloud
- 44% of night
- Condensation
- High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
The ground is likely to be very wet after recent rain; expect boggy approaches and choose a durable pitch carefully.
Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.
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Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaGusts near 50 mph increase the seriousness of exposed ground. 0/100Poor · Very poor View detailsHide details
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (0/100). Some rock may still be damp or drying; polished slabs and vegetated sections could be notably worse. The mapped summit rock is Volcaniclastic-sandstone and volcaniclastic-breccia (Seathwaite Fell Sandstone Formation). Usually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Dacitic lapilli-tuff, Andesite and 4 other mapped types, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 50 mph; crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.
Usually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
8 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Usually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully.
BGS recordOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.
BGS recordOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.
BGS recordOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.
BGS recordOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.
BGS recordOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.
BGS recordOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.
BGS recordGenerally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS recordSee sampled routes
Wainwright Bob Graham Round74–957 m samplesAndesite · Dacitic lapilli-tuff · Volcaniclastic-sandstone and volcaniclastic-breccia
Wainwright Old County Tops632–954 m samplesDacitic lapilli-tuff · Volcaniclastic-sandstone and volcaniclastic-breccia
Wainwright Scafell Pike Corridor Borrowdale336–957 m samplesDacitic lapilli-tuff · Volcaniclastic-sandstone and volcaniclastic-breccia · Andesite · Felsic tuff · Microgabbro
Wainwright Scafell Pike Langdale520–957 m samplesDacitic lapilli-tuff · Volcaniclastic-sandstone and volcaniclastic-breccia
Wainwright Scafell Pike Wasdale69–959 m samplesAndesite · Dacite · Rhyolitic lapilli-tuff · Volcaniclastic-sandstone and volcaniclastic-breccia
Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.
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Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
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