Welsh 3000s weather forecast

Compare all 15 summits over 3,000 feet in Eryri before committing to this long and serious mountain challenge.

15 summitsAcross three mountain ranges
Planning ahead? Compare the best months

Forecast comparison

Every summit is shown side by side. The combined grade gives extra weight to the weakest forecast.

SummitGradeForecast summaryWindRainSummit viewsDetails
Snowdon - Yr Wyddfa1,085 mLimiting summit
73/100Good

A grey, cloudy day on Snowdon - Yr Wyddfa: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views40%
Crib y Ddysgl (Garnedd Ugain)1,065 m
81/100Good

A mixed day on Crib y Ddysgl: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views42%
Crib Goch923 m
84/100Good

A mixed day on Crib Goch: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views47%
Elidir Fawr924 m
84/100Good

A mixed day on Elidir Fawr: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views47%
Y Garn947 m
84/100Good

A mixed day on Y Garn: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views47%
Glyder Fawr1,001 m
84/100Good

A mixed day on Glyder Fawr: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views45%
Glyder Fach994 m
84/100Good

A mixed day on Glyder Fach: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 28 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views45%
Tryfan918 m
80/100Good

A mixed day on Tryfan: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind23 mph WGusts 32 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views47%
Pen yr Ole Wen978 m
80/100Good

A mixed day on Pen yr Ole Wen: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind23 mph WGusts 32 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views44%
Carnedd Dafydd1,044 m
80/100Good

A mixed day on Carnedd Dafydd: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind23 mph WGusts 32 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views42%
Carnedd Llewelyn1,064 m
76/100Good

A mixed day on Carnedd Llewelyn: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind22 mph WGusts 31 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views38%
Yr Elen962 m
80/100Good

A mixed day on Yr Elen: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind23 mph WGusts 32 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views45%
Foel Grach975 m
80/100Good

A mixed day on Foel Grach: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind22 mph WGusts 31 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views44%
Carnedd Gwenllian (Garnedd Uchaf)925 m
81/100Good

A mixed day on Garnedd Uchaf: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (fresh and blowy).

Wind20 mph WGusts 29 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views46%
Foel-fras944 m
80/100Good

A mixed day on Foel-fras: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph early in the morning (strong winds).

Wind22 mph WGusts 31 mph
Rain0.0 mm
Summit views46%

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.

Planning the Welsh 3000s

The Welsh 3000s crosses the Yr Wyddfa, Glyderau and Carneddau ranges, taking in 15 summits above 3,000 feet. Its length, exposed scrambling and repeated high ground make a single valley forecast inadequate for choosing a day.

The combined grade is deliberately conservative and gives extra weight to the weakest summit. Review every row, especially Crib Goch and Tryfan, and use the full peak pages for timing and hazard detail.

Read BMC Welsh 3000s guide
Plan ahead with mountain climate

Best time of year for the Welsh 3000s

Balance the historical rain-and-wind pattern with daylight, snow and the demands of the route. This is seasonal context, not a forecast for your chosen date.

May, June and July lead the seasonal comparison

These months have the highest average share of settled rain-and-wind days across the challenge's represented areas within our May-to-September planning comparison. Small percentage differences are not a reliable reason to choose one week over another.

The Welsh 3000s combines a long day with exposed scrambling. A settled rain-and-wind month does not tell you whether Crib Goch or Tryfan will be dry, clear or free of ice on your chosen day. BMC route context.

Settled rain-and-wind days by month

Average of 1 regional sample, not the probability of a settled whole challenge
39%
Jan
39%
Feb
42%
Mar
46%
Apr
48%
May
48%
Jun
48%
Jul
45%
Aug
47%
Sep
38%
Oct
40%
Nov
39%
Dec

Green bars mark May to September. Percentages measure rain and gusts only, not sunshine, cloud-free summits, snow conditions or safety.

Eryri (Snowdonia)

May, June, July

48% settled rain/wind in this area's strongest May-to-September months.

Sample: Snowdon / Yr Wyddfa, 1,085 m.

Context for 15 challenge summits

Snowdon - Yr Wyddfa, Crib y Ddysgl (Garnedd Ugain), Crib Goch, Elidir Fawr, Y Garn, Glyder Fawr, Glyder Fach, Tryfan, Pen yr Ole Wen, Carnedd Dafydd, Carnedd Llewelyn, Yr Elen, Foel Grach, Carnedd Gwenllian (Garnedd Uchaf), Foel-fras. Shared regional context does not imply identical summit conditions.

Explore monthly weather and cottages

Based on our ERA5-derived regional mountain climate summaries, 1986 to 2025. Each distinct area counts once, so several peaks sharing a sample do not multiply its influence. These monthly summaries do not measure how often all summits were settled on the same day. Explore the mountain climate guide.

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.

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Light background. Three daily grades with the limiting summit. Suggested height: 300 px.

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