Bakestall weather forecast.

673 m summit in Lake District. 8 forecast days covering wind, cloud, rain and temperature, updated 20 September 2026 at 08:46 UTC.

Choose your hill day.

Compare 8 days, then read the outlook for your visit. How we score a hill day.

Select a day to replace the detailed forecast below. 8 forecast days are available here.

Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather60/100Mixed
Wind15-35 mph westerly Gusts35-45 mph Feels like0 to 4°C PrecipitationLittle or none Cloud-free summit estimate70% Cloud base through day500-1,400 m Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 06:53 · Sunset 19:17 · 12.4 hours daylight

The day on the hill

On Bakestall: summit wind broadly 15-35 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph at times (strong winds).

Wind & exposure

Much calmer lower down - generally 10-20 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.

Cloud & views

Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, lifting to 800–1100 m around midday and 1100–1400 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud is extensive early, becoming less frequent later.

Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.

Cloud may hang lower on western slopes and lift somewhat on the eastern side, but local terrain can differ. Sunny spells are possible away from summit cloud, but may not reach the top while it is in cloud.

Rain & temperature

The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Little or no rain is forecast.

Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly 4 to 8°C, feeling around 0 to 4°C in the wind.

Forecast confidence

Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. A windproof layer will help, with an extra warm layer for stops.

Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges. Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud, even where forecasts agree on the wider cloud cover.

Cloud-free timing: Around 40% early, improving to around 95% later.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates 2.2 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
0 h
Midday
Less than 1 hour
Later
1 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Poor Summit winds around 20-30 mph. Gusts around 35-45 mph are possible on exposed ground. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges. Summit cloud is more persistent early in this period, with better prospects later.
46/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Good Summit winds around 15-25 mph. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground.
74/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaA broadly very good night on a well-chosen pitch. 89/100Excellent · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Sunday 20 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks very good overall around 600 m (89/100). It may be breezy on open ground, with gusts near 25 mph. Little overnight rain is forecast.

Overnight rain0.0 mm Open ground · 600 m14 mph · gusts 25 mph Morning pack-upNo wet signal Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 6°C or lower

Moon overnight

Waxing gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
70%
Moonrise
17:24 BST
Moonset
23:59 BST

Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 20 Sep, 17:00 BST to 21 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m92/100 · very good
Wind / gust
12 mph / 21 mph
Typical / low
8.9°C / 8.5°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m89/100 · very good
Wind / gust
14 mph / 25 mph
Typical / low
8.9°C / 8.5°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaGusts near 40 mph may affect balance on exposed rock. Mixed68/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look fair (68/100). Rock is likely to be mostly dry, though seepage and shaded holds are not resolved. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Gusts may reach about 40 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.

Rock surfaceProbably dryPeak gust38 mphRain0.0 mm
Main concerngusts around 40 mph
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Sunday 20 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather78/100Good
Wind10-25 mph westerly Gusts25-35 mph Feels like6 to 10°C PrecipitationUp to around 2 mm Cloud-free summit estimate50% Cloud base through day600-900 m Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 06:55 · Sunset 19:14 · 12.3 hours daylight

The day on the hill

Mostly dry with limited summit cloud on Bakestall: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph at times (a fresh breeze).

Cloud & views

Cloud base mostly around 600–900 m through daylight. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.

Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.

Cloud may hang lower on western slopes and lift somewhat on the eastern side, but local terrain can differ. Very little direct sunshine is likely, with extensive cloud.

Drizzle is forecast at times. The forecast total is up to around 2 mm, but local amounts will vary.

Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 16-27 mph at walker height, with gusts 22-37 mph.

Forecast confidence

Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud, even where forecasts agree on the wider cloud cover.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates 0 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
0 h
Midday
0 h
Later
0 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Good Summit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground.
82/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Good Summit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 20-30 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period.
73/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaCondensation risk is high near 300 and 600 m. 64/100Mixed · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Monday 21 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks reasonable overall around 600 m (64/100). Light winds are expected on open ground, though local shelter and exposure still matter. A little rain may coincide with pitching or packing up. Condensation risk is high near 300 and 600 m, so a wet pack-up is possible. Ventilation will matter.

Overnight rain0.8 mm Open ground · 600 m12 mph · gusts 19 mph Morning pack-upDampness possible Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 10°C or lower

Moon overnight

Waxing gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
78%
Moonrise
17:46 BST
Moonset
01:18 next morning BST

Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 21 Sep, 17:00 BST to 22 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m64/100 · reasonable
Wind / gust
10 mph / 16 mph
Typical / low
12.7°C / 12.6°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m64/100 · reasonable
Wind / gust
12 mph / 19 mph
Typical / low
12.7°C / 12.6°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 2-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 10°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Poor38/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (38/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp.

Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust28 mphRain0.6 mm
Main concernwet rock likely
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Monday 21 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather62/100Mixed
Wind5-20 mph southwesterly Gusts15-25 mph Feels like10 to 14°C PrecipitationUp to around 2 mm Cloud-free summit estimate50% Cloud base through day600-900 m Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 06:57 · Sunset 19:12 · 12.2 hours daylight

The day on the hill

Frequent summit cloud on Bakestall: summit wind broadly 5-20 mph, with gusts 15-25 mph at times (light winds). Visibility may drop briefly in showers.

Cloud & views

Cloud base mostly around 600–900 m through daylight. Summit cloud is likely, but brief clear spells remain possible if the cloud sits higher than expected.

Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.

Cloud may hang lower on southwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the northeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Any sunshine may be confined to lower ground or breaks away from the summit.

Drizzle is forecast for much of the day, with some passing showers too. The forecast total is up to around 2 mm, but local amounts will vary.

Forecast confidence

Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud, even where forecasts agree on the wider cloud cover.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates Less than 1 hour of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
0 h
Midday
Less than 1 hour
Later
0 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Mixed Summit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period.
61/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Mixed Summit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 10-20 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period.
62/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaAbout 8.3 mm is forecast, with rain possible around pack-up. 49/100Poor · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Tuesday 22 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks mixed overall around 600 m (49/100). It may be breezy on open ground, with gusts near 30 mph. Peak gusts range from about 25 mph at 300 m to 30 mph at 600 m. Wind direction may change substantially during the night. Shelter that works at dusk may be less effective later. Roughly 8.3 mm is forecast overnight, including rain around pack-up. Pitches near 600 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 300 and 600 m. Ventilation will matter.

Overnight rain8.3 mm Open ground · 600 m14 mph · gusts 28 mph Morning pack-upDampness possible Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 6°C or lower

Moon overnight

Waxing gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
86%
Moonrise
18:01 BST
Moonset
02:39 next morning BST

Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 22 Sep, 17:00 BST to 23 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m49/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
12 mph / 23 mph
Typical / low
11.9°C / 8.5°C · a brief spell
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m49/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
14 mph / 28 mph
Typical / low
11.9°C / 8.5°C · a brief spell
In cloud
27% of modelled night
Condensation
High

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Poor42/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look mixed (42/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.

Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust18 mphRain1.1 mm
Main factorswet rock likelymuch of the route may be in cloud
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Tuesday 22 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather54/100Mixed
Wind15-30 mph northwesterly Gusts30-40 mph Feels like0 to 4°C PrecipitationUp to around 2 mm Cloud-free summit estimate75% Cloud base through day500-1,300 m Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 06:59 · Sunset 19:09 · 12.2 hours daylight

The day on the hill

On Bakestall: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph at times (a fresh breeze).

Things to watch

Possible spate risk early in the day and into the morning, with forecast rain and subsequent runoff. Timings are approximate, not a guarantee of safe crossings afterwards. Burns and unbridged crossings may rise quickly. Turn back if a crossing looks unsafe.

Cloud & views

Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, lifting to 1000–1300 m around midday. Summit cloud is extensive early, becoming less frequent later.

Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.

Cloud may hang lower on northwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the southeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Sunny spells are possible away from summit cloud, but may not reach the top while it is in cloud.

Drizzle is forecast at times. The forecast total is up to around 2 mm, but local amounts will vary.

Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly 4 to 8°C, feeling around 0 to 4°C in the wind. Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 16-31 mph at walker height, with gusts 22-44 mph.

Forecast confidence

Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. A windproof layer will help, with an extra warm layer for stops.

Some forecast models bring rain during the main walking period, while others keep it mostly dry.

Cloud-free timing: Around 40% early, improving to around 95% later.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates Less than 1 hour of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
Less than 1 hour
Midday
0 h
Later
0 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Poor Summit winds around 20-30 mph. Gusts around 30-40 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period. Some forecast models bring rain during the morning, while others keep it mostly dry.
28/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Good Winds ease compared with the morning. Summit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground. Some forecast models bring rain during the afternoon, while others keep it mostly dry.
79/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaA broadly promising night on a well-chosen pitch. 85/100Excellent · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Wednesday 23 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks promising overall around 600 m (85/100). It may be breezy on open ground, with gusts near 25 mph. Wind direction may change substantially during the night. Shelter that works at dusk may be less effective later. Little overnight rain is forecast.

Overnight rain0.0 mm Open ground · 600 m8 mph · gusts 25 mph Morning pack-upNo wet signal Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 4°C or lower

Moon overnight

Waxing gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
92%
Moonrise
18:12 BST
Moonset
04:00 next morning BST

Clear spells may allow a view of the Moon. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 23 Sep, 17:00 BST to 24 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m88/100 · very good
Wind / gust
7 mph / 21 mph
Typical / low
8.0°C / 7.4°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m85/100 · promising
Wind / gust
8 mph / 25 mph
Typical / low
8.0°C / 7.4°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 4°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Gusts near 35 mph may affect balance on exposed rock. Poor6/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (6/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Gusts may reach about 35 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.

Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust33 mphRain0.4 mm
Main factorsgusts around 35 mphwet rock likely
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Wednesday 23 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather89/100Excellent
Wind10-30 mph southerly Gusts30-40 mph Feels like4 to 8°C PrecipitationLittle or none Cloud-free summit estimate95% Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 07:00 · Sunset 19:07 · 12.1 hours daylight

The day on the hill

On Bakestall: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph at times (strong winds).

Wind & exposure

Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.

Cloud & views

Cloud base mostly around 1800–2100 m through daylight. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.

Rain & temperature

Little or no rain is forecast. Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 16-41 mph at walker height, with gusts 23-58 mph.

Forecast confidence

Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges.

Summit wind could be roughly 16-41 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates 7.7 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
2 h
Midday
4 h
Later
0 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Excellent Summit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground.
90/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Excellent Summit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground.
88/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaGusts near 40 mph make meaningful shelter important. 39/100Poor · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Thursday 24 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks poor overall around 600 m (39/100). A lower pitch near 300 m looks more comfortable. Conditions are less suitable by 600 m. Open-ground gusts may reach about 40 mph. Seek meaningful shelter. Peak gusts range from about 30 mph at 300 m to 40 mph at 600 m. Little overnight rain is forecast.

Overnight rain0.0 mm Open ground · 600 m21 mph · gusts 38 mph Morning pack-upNo wet signal Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 6°C or lower

Moon overnight

Waxing gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
97%
Moonrise
18:21 BST
Moonset
05:22 next morning BST

Clear spells may allow a view of the Moon. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 24 Sep, 17:00 BST to 25 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
18 mph / 31 mph
Typical / low
10.3°C / 9.7°C · a brief spell
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
21 mph / 38 mph
Typical / low
10.3°C / 9.7°C · a brief spell
In cloud
7% of modelled night
Condensation
Low

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaPatchy rain could leave exposed holds damp or slippery. Gusts near 30 mph may affect balance on exposed rock. Good80/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look good (80/100). Likely to stay mostly dry, but patchy rain remains possible and could leave exposed rock damp or slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Gusts may reach about 30 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.

Rock surfaceDry initially; rain possiblePeak gust32 mphRainPossible · 30%
Main factorsgusts around 30 mphrain possible despite mostly dry conditions being favoured
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Thursday 24 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather58/100Mixed
Wind10-20 mph southwesterly Gusts15-25 mph Feels like4 to 8°C PrecipitationUp to around 2 mm Cloud-free summit estimate40% Cloud base through day500-800 m Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 07:02 · Sunset 19:04 · 12.0 hours daylight

The day on the hill

Frequent summit cloud on Bakestall: summit wind broadly 10-20 mph, with gusts 15-25 mph at times (a moderate breeze). Patchy mist is possible in sheltered valleys early on.

Cloud & views

Cloud base mostly around 500–800 m through daylight. Summit cloud is likely, but brief clear spells remain possible if the cloud sits higher than expected.

Summit cloud is uncertain: local cloud may cover the top even where the wider area looks clearer. Cloud may hang lower on southwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the northeastern side, but local terrain can differ.

Any sunshine may be confined to lower ground or breaks away from the summit. Drizzle is forecast at times.

The forecast total is up to around 2 mm, but local amounts will vary. Cloud height and summit clearance are uncertain.

Check again nearer the time.

Forecast confidence

Forecast models differ on whether meaningful rain reaches the hills during the main walking period.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates Less than 1 hour of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Cloud may obscure this summit even while the surrounding model grid indicates sunshine. The low cloud-free summit estimate is a reason to be cautious about expecting views.

Early
0 h
Midday
0 h
Later
Less than 1 hour

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Mixed Summit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is possible during the morning, but forecast models disagree on whether it will fall.
58/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Mixed Summit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period. Rain is possible during the afternoon, but forecast models disagree on whether it will fall.
58/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaAbout 2.1 mm is forecast, with rain liable to affect both pitching and packing up. 54/100Mixed · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Friday 25 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks mixed overall around 600 m (54/100). It may be breezy on open ground, with gusts near 20 mph. Around 2.1 mm is forecast, with rain liable to affect both pitching and packing up. Pitches near 600 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 300 and 600 m. Ventilation will matter.

Overnight rain2.1 mm Open ground · 600 m8 mph · gusts 20 mph Morning pack-upDampness possible Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 6°C or lower

Moon overnight

Near-full moon

Illuminated disc
99%
Moonrise
18:29 BST
Moonset
06:44 next morning BST

Cloud at the reference camping height may hide the Moon. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 25 Sep, 17:00 BST to 26 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m64/100 · reasonable
Wind / gust
7 mph / 17 mph
Typical / low
11.2°C / 9.7°C · a brief spell
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m54/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
8 mph / 20 mph
Typical / low
11.1°C / 9.6°C · a brief spell
In cloud
100% of modelled night
Condensation
High

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Poor18/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (18/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.

Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust22 mphRain0.6 mm
Main factorswet rock likelymuch of the route may be in cloud
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Friday 25 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Unavailable
Overall hill weather67/100Mixed
Wind10-30 mph southwesterly Gusts30-40 mph Feels like4 to 8°C PrecipitationUp to around 2 mm Cloud-free summit estimate60% Cloud base through day500-1,000 m Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 07:04 · Sunset 19:02 · 12.0 hours daylight

The day on the hill

On Bakestall: summit wind broadly 10-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph at times (a fresh breeze).

Wind & exposure

Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.

Cloud & views

Cloud base around 500–800 m through the morning, lifting to 700–1000 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view from late afternoon into the evening.

Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.

Sunny spells are possible away from summit cloud, but may not reach the top while it is in cloud. Drizzle is forecast at times.

The forecast total is up to around 2 mm, but local amounts will vary. Forecast models disagree markedly on summit wind strength.

Check again nearer the time.

Forecast confidence

Overall confidence is unavailable: insufficient comparable wind, rain guidance.

Cloud-free timing: Around 35% early, improving to around 80% later.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates 10.9 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
2 h
Midday
4 h
Later
2.9 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Mixed Summit winds around 0-10 mph. Gusts around 5-15 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period.
60/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Good Winds strengthen compared with the morning. Summit winds around 0-10 mph in the early afternoon, strengthening to 15-25 mph later. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground. Summit cloud is more persistent early in this period, with better prospects later.
74/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaGusts near 40 mph make meaningful shelter important. 39/100Poor · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Saturday 26 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks poor overall around 600 m (39/100). A lower pitch near 300 m looks more comfortable. Conditions are less suitable by 600 m. Open-ground gusts may reach about 40 mph. Seek meaningful shelter. Peak gusts range from about 35 mph at 300 m to 40 mph at 600 m. A little rain may coincide with pitching or packing up. A wet pack-up remains possible from dew or brief dampness toward dawn.

Overnight rain0.7 mm Open ground · 600 m25 mph · gusts 41 mph Morning pack-upDampness possible Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 6°C or lower

Moon overnight

Near-full moon

Illuminated disc
100%
Moonrise
18:37 BST
Moonset
Outside this window

Views of the Moon may come and go through cloud breaks. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 26 Sep, 17:00 BST to 27 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
21 mph / 34 mph
Typical / low
10.1°C / 9.3°C · several hours
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
25 mph / 41 mph
Typical / low
10.1°C / 9.3°C · several hours
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Gusts near 30 mph may affect balance on exposed rock. Poor36/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (36/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Gusts may reach about 30 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.

Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust32 mphRain0.5 mm
Main factorsgusts around 30 mphwet rock likelymuch of the route may be in cloud
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Saturday 26 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Confidence: Unavailable
Overall hill weather64/100Mixed
Wind20-35 mph southwesterly Gusts35-45 mph Feels like2 to 6°C PrecipitationAround 2-5 mm Cloud-free summit estimate95% Freezing levelAbove summit DaylightSunrise 07:06 · Sunset 18:59 · 11.9 hours daylight

The day on the hill

On Bakestall: summit wind broadly 20-35 mph, with gusts 35-45 mph at times (strong winds). Visibility may drop briefly in showers.

Wind & exposure

Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.

Cloud & views

Cloud base mostly around 1100–1400 m through daylight. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.

Drizzle is forecast for much of the day, with some passing showers too. The forecast total is around 2-5 mm, but local amounts will vary.

Forecast models disagree markedly on summit wind strength. Check again nearer the time.

Exposed tops may feel chilly in the wind. A windproof layer will help, with an extra warm layer for stops.

If clothing gets wet, you can cool more quickly. Keep a dry warm layer protected.

Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges.

Forecast confidence

Overall confidence is unavailable: insufficient comparable wind, rain guidance.

Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine

The surrounding model grid indicates 10.2 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.

Early
1.3 h
Midday
4 h
Later
2.9 h

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00 Mixed Summit winds around 20-30 mph. Gusts around 35-45 mph are possible on exposed ground. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges. Rain is forecast during this period.
57/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00 Good Summit winds around 15-25 mph. Gusts around 30-40 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period.
71/100

Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaGusts near 35 mph make meaningful shelter important. 59/100Mixed · 600 m View detailsHide details
Night beginning Sunday 27 September 2026

Full overnight outlook

Open-hillside camping looks mixed overall around 600 m (59/100). Open-ground gusts may reach about 35 mph. Seek meaningful shelter. Peak gusts range from about 30 mph at 300 m to 35 mph at 600 m. Around 1.5 mm is forecast, with rain liable to affect both pitching and packing up. Some condensation is possible overnight.

Overnight rain1.5 mm Open ground · 600 m21 mph · gusts 34 mph Morning pack-upDampness possible Sleeping-bag warmthISO comfort rating about 4°C or lower

Moon overnight

Waning gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
98%
Moonrise
18:46 BST
Moonset
Outside this window

Views of the Moon may come and go through cloud breaks. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 27 Sep, 17:00 BST to 28 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

300 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
18 mph / 28 mph
Typical / low
7.8°C / 6.7°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
600 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
21 mph / 34 mph
Typical / low
7.8°C / 6.7°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate

Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 4°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.

Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

Approximate height is enough, please do not share an exact wild-camp location.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Gusts near 40 mph may affect balance on exposed rock. Poor26/100 View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance

Full climbing & scrambling outlook

Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (26/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Mudstone and siltstone (Kirk Stile Formation). Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Gusts may reach about 40 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.

Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust41 mphRain4.1 mm
Main factorsgusts around 40 mphwet rock likely
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes Mudstone and siltstone Kirk Stile Formation
Origin
Sedimentary
Rock family
Slate or mudstone
Mapping
BGS Geology 50K · 1:50,000
Rock-response profile
Moderate confidence
View the summit BGS record

Often positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.

Rock groups along the sampled routes

These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.

Wainwright Skiddaw And Little Man

slate or mudstone

Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback

A broad surface report is enough; you do not need to identify a particular route.

Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast

After dark: aurora and stargazing

Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part

Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Bakestall on Sunday 27 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

Open the questions to take part.

About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead

Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.

Forecast run: 2026-09-20

A forecast is part of the decision.

Mountain weather can differ sharply from conditions in the valley. Check official warnings, carry appropriate navigation and clothing, and be ready to change the plan. Read how Mountain Weather forecasts are produced and where their limits lie.