Select a day to replace the detailed forecast below. 8 forecast days are available here.
Confidence: Medium
Overall hill weather32/100Poor
Wind30-50 mph northwesterlyGusts55-65 mphFeels like-8 to -4°CPrecipitationLittle or noneCloud-free summit estimate65%Cloud base through day500-2,000 mFreezing levelAbove summitDaylightSunrise 06:53 · Sunset 19:18 · 12.4 hours daylight
The day on the hill
Strong gusts on Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 30-50 mph, with gusts 55-65 mph at times (gale-force mean winds at times).
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, then around 1700–2000 m around midday and 1500–1800 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud is extensive early, becoming less frequent later.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.
Cloud may hang lower on northwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the southeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Sunny spells are possible away from summit cloud, but may not reach the top while it is in cloud.
Rain & temperature
Little or no rain is forecast. Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly 0 to 4°C, feeling around -8 to -4°C in the wind.
Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 40-46 mph at walker height, with gusts 56-65 mph.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Keep windproof and warm layers readily available.
The strongest gusts could knock you over on exposed ground. Avoid exposed ridges and edges.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud, even where forecasts agree on the wider cloud cover.
Cloud-free timing: Cloudy early, clearing later.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 8.4 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
PoorSummit winds around 35-45 mph. Gusts around 55-65 mph are possible on exposed ground. Walking into the wind is likely to be arduous, with buffeting that can knock you off balance. Summit cloud is more persistent early in this period, with better prospects later.
22/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
PoorSummit winds around 25-40 mph. Gusts around 45-55 mph are possible on exposed ground. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
43/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaExposed camping is not recommended near 900 m: gusts may reach about 45 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 30 mph at times. Lower sheltered ground may be less exposed, but this forecast does not confirm a suitable pitch or a safe approach. Check its overnight conditions separately.39/100Poor · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Sunday 20 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Exposed camping is not recommended near 900 m: gusts may reach about 45 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 30 mph at times. Lower sheltered ground may be less exposed, but this forecast does not confirm a suitable pitch or a safe approach. Check its overnight conditions separately. Open-hillside camping looks poor overall around 600 m (39/100). Peak gusts range from about 30 mph at 300 m to 45 mph at 900 m. Little overnight rain is forecast. A wet pack-up remains possible from dew or brief dampness toward dawn. The coldest temperature falls from about 7.1°C at 300 m to 5.5°C at 900 m.
Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 20 Sep, 17:00 BST to 21 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
15 mph / 31 mph
Typical / low
8.4°C / 7.1°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
18 mph / 38 mph
Typical / low
8.4°C / 7.1°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
900 m19/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
21 mph / 44 mph
Typical / low
6.8°C / 5.5°C · much of the night
In cloud
7% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 4°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
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Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaGusts near 60 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor20/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (20/100). Rock is likely to be mostly dry, though seepage and shaded holds are not resolved. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 60 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.
Rock surfaceProbably dryPeak gust58 mphRain0.0 mm
Main concerngusts around 60 mph
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Sunday 20 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Wind25-35 mph westerlyGusts40-50 mphFeels like0 to 4°CPrecipitationLittle or noneCloud-free summit estimate15%Cloud base through day600-900 mFreezing levelAbove summitDaylightSunrise 06:55 · Sunset 19:16 · 12.3 hours daylight
The day on the hill
Strong gusts and frequent summit cloud on Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 25-35 mph, with gusts 40-50 mph at times (strong winds).
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 15-25 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
Cloud & views
Cloud base mostly around 600–900 m through daylight. Cloud is likely to cover the top for most or all of daylight, with no dependable break.
Cloud may hang lower on western slopes and lift somewhat on the eastern side, but local terrain can differ. Any sunshine may be confined to lower ground or breaks away from the summit.
Rain & temperature
Little or no rain is forecast. Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 25-42 mph at walker height, with gusts 35-59 mph.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Exposed tops may feel chilly in the wind.
A windproof layer will help, with an extra warm layer for stops. Summit wind could be roughly 25-42 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.
Cloud-free timing: Around 35% early, falling to around 20% later.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 7.4 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Cloud may obscure this summit even while the surrounding model grid indicates sunshine. The low cloud-free summit estimate is a reason to be cautious about expecting views.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
PoorSummit winds around 25-35 mph. Gusts around 40-50 mph are possible on exposed ground. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
21/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
PoorSummit winds around 25-35 mph. Gusts around 40-50 mph are possible on exposed ground. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges.
33/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaExposed camping is not recommended near 300, 600 and 900 m: gusts may reach about 60 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 45 mph at times. Choose an alternative off the exposed hill. Do not rely on finding shelter after setting out.9/100Poor · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Monday 21 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Exposed camping is not recommended near 300, 600 and 900 m: gusts may reach about 60 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 45 mph at times. Choose an alternative off the exposed hill. Do not rely on finding shelter after setting out. Open-hillside camping looks very poor overall around 600 m (9/100). Peak gusts range from about 40 mph at 300 m to 60 mph at 900 m. Little overnight rain is forecast. Pitches near 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 300, 600 and 900 m. Ventilation will matter. The coldest temperature falls from about 12.4°C at 300 m to 10.7°C at 900 m.
Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 21 Sep, 17:00 BST to 22 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m19/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
21 mph / 42 mph
Typical / low
13.3°C / 12.4°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m9/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
25 mph / 51 mph
Typical / low
13.3°C / 12.4°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
900 m9/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
30 mph / 60 mph
Typical / low
11.6°C / 10.7°C
In cloud
100% of modelled night
Condensation
High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 2-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 10°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaPatchy rain could leave exposed holds damp or slippery. Gusts near 45 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor10/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (10/100). Likely to stay mostly dry, but patchy rain remains possible and could leave exposed rock damp or slippery. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 45 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.
Rock surfaceDry initially; rain possiblePeak gust46 mphRainPossible · 85%
Main factorsgusts around 45 mphrain possible despite mostly dry conditions being favouredmuch of the route may be in cloud
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Monday 21 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Wind20-45 mph southwesterlyGusts50-60 mphFeels like2 to 6°CPrecipitationAround 5-10 mmCloud-free summit estimate20%Cloud base through day600-1,300 mFreezing levelAbove summitDaylightSunrise 06:57 · Sunset 19:13 · 12.3 hours daylight
The day on the hill
Strong gusts and frequent summit cloud on Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 20-45 mph, with gusts 50-60 mph at times (strong winds).
Things to watch
Thunderstorms are possible from around midday into the evening. Keep an escape route from exposed ridges and descend if thunder develops.
If a thunderstorm develops, sudden gusts and heavy rain can change conditions quickly. High spate risk from the afternoon into the night, with forecast rain and subsequent runoff. Risk may continue beyond the daytime period shown. Timings are approximate, not a guarantee of safe crossings afterwards. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Turn back if a crossing looks unsafe.
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 800–1100 m in the morning, then around 1000–1300 m around midday and 600–900 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud is likely, but brief clear spells remain possible if the cloud sits higher than expected.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.
Cloud may hang lower on southwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the northeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Any sunshine may be confined to lower ground or breaks away from the summit.
Rain & temperature
Rain and drizzle are forecast for much of the day. The forecast total is around 5-10 mm, but local amounts will vary.
Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 26-51 mph at walker height, with gusts 37-71 mph.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Exposed tops may feel chilly in the wind.
A windproof layer will help, with an extra warm layer for stops. If clothing gets wet, you can cool more quickly.
Keep a dry warm layer protected. A low thunderstorm risk remains difficult to time precisely.
Cloud-free timing: Around 25% early, falling to around 5% later.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 6.6 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Cloud may obscure this summit even while the surrounding model grid indicates sunshine. The low cloud-free summit estimate is a reason to be cautious about expecting views.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
PoorSummit winds around 25-40 mph. Gusts around 45-55 mph are possible on exposed ground. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
23/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
PoorWinds ease compared with the morning. More rain is expected. Summit winds around 20-30 mph in the early afternoon, easing to 10-20 mph later. Gusts around 30-40 mph are possible on exposed ground. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges. Rain is forecast during this period. Some forecast models bring rain during the afternoon, while others keep it mostly dry.
37/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaAbout 23.4 mm is forecast, with rain possible around pitching time.39/100Poor · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Tuesday 22 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks poor overall around 600 m (39/100). Light winds are expected on open ground, though local shelter and exposure still matter. Peak gusts range from about 10 mph at 300 m to 15 mph at 900 m. Roughly 23.4 mm is forecast overnight, including rain around pitching time. Pitches near 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 300, 600 and 900 m. Ventilation will matter. The coldest temperature falls from about 7.2°C at 300 m to 5.1°C at 900 m.
Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 22 Sep, 17:00 BST to 23 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
6 mph / 12 mph
Typical / low
8.4°C / 7.2°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
7 mph / 14 mph
Typical / low
8.4°C / 7.2°C · much of the night
In cloud
13% of modelled night
Condensation
High
900 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
9 mph / 17 mph
Typical / low
6.9°C / 5.1°C · much of the night
In cloud
87% of modelled night
Condensation
High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 4°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Gusts near 50 mph may affect balance on exposed rock. Low thunderstorm risk. Avoid exposed rock if storms develop.Poor0/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (0/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 50 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder. Low thunderstorm risk, broadly from around midday into the evening. Avoid committing to exposed ground if storms develop.
Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust52 mphRain6.9 mm
Main factorslow thunderstorm risk on exposed groundgusts around 50 mphwet rock likely
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Tuesday 22 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
On Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph at times (a fresh breeze).
Things to watch
High spate risk early in the day and into the morning, after earlier rain. Timings are approximate, not a guarantee of safe crossings afterwards. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Turn back if a crossing looks unsafe.
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 1400–1700 m in the morning, then around 3000–3300 m around midday and 1500–1800 m by late afternoon. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.
Cloud may hang lower on northwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the southeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Very little direct sunshine is forecast.
Rain & temperature
The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Little or no rain is forecast.
Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly 2 to 6°C, feeling around -4 to 0°C in the wind. Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 18-29 mph at walker height, with gusts 25-40 mph.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Keep windproof and warm layers readily available.
Forecast models differ on whether meaningful rain reaches the hills during the afternoon and evening.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 0 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
GoodSummit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 10-20 mph are possible on exposed ground. Some forecast models bring rain during the morning, while others keep it mostly dry.
77/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
MixedSummit winds around 10-25 mph. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground. Some forecast models bring rain during the afternoon, while others keep it mostly dry.
68/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaGusts near 30 mph make meaningful shelter important.82/100Good · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Wednesday 23 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks promising overall around 600 m (82/100). A lower pitch near 300 m looks more comfortable. Conditions are less suitable by 900 m. Open-ground gusts may reach about 30 mph. Seek meaningful shelter. Peak gusts range from about 20 mph at 300 m to 30 mph at 900 m. Wind direction may change substantially during the night. Shelter that works at dusk may be less effective later. Little overnight rain is forecast. The coldest temperature falls from about 6.3°C at 300 m to 4.8°C at 900 m.
Clear spells may allow a view of the Moon. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 23 Sep, 17:00 BST to 24 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m88/100 · very good
Wind / gust
9 mph / 22 mph
Typical / low
6.8°C / 6.3°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m82/100 · promising
Wind / gust
11 mph / 27 mph
Typical / low
6.8°C / 6.3°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
900 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
13 mph / 32 mph
Typical / low
5.1°C / 4.8°C · several hours
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 4°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaRock may be damp or still drying. Gusts near 30 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor38/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (38/100). Recent rain may leave seepage and damp rock, especially on shaded sections. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 30 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.
Rock surfaceDry overhead; seepage uncertainPeak gust30 mphRainPossible · 88%
Main factorsgusts around 30 mphdamp or incompletely dried rock possible
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Wednesday 23 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Strong gusts on Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 25-45 mph, with gusts 50-60 mph at times (strong winds).
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 1500–1800 m in the morning, then around 1900–2200 m around midday and 1700–2000 m by late afternoon. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.
Rain & temperature
The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain. Little or no rain is forecast.
Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly -2 to 2°C, feeling around -10 to -6°C in the wind. Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 29-49 mph at walker height, with gusts 41-68 mph.
Keep windproof and warm layers readily available.
Forecast confidence
Summit wind could be roughly 29-49 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 10.2 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
MixedSummit winds around 15-30 mph. Gusts around 35-45 mph are possible on exposed ground. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges.
60/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
PoorWinds strengthen compared with the morning. Summit winds around 25-35 mph. Gusts around 40-50 mph are possible on exposed ground. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
46/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaExposed camping is not recommended near 600 and 900 m: gusts may reach about 55 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 40 mph at times. Choose an alternative off the exposed hill. Do not rely on finding shelter after setting out.19/100Poor · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Thursday 24 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Exposed camping is not recommended near 600 and 900 m: gusts may reach about 55 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 40 mph at times. Choose an alternative off the exposed hill. Do not rely on finding shelter after setting out. Open-hillside camping looks very poor overall around 600 m (19/100). Peak gusts range from about 35 mph at 300 m to 55 mph at 900 m. A little rain may coincide with pitching or packing up. Pitches near 600 and 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present.
Cloud at the reference camping height may hide the Moon. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 24 Sep, 17:00 BST to 25 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
24 mph / 37 mph
Typical / low
9.7°C / 8.5°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
600 m19/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
28 mph / 45 mph
Typical / low
9.6°C / 8.4°C · much of the night
In cloud
53% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
900 m9/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
33 mph / 53 mph
Typical / low
8.4°C / 7.2°C · much of the night
In cloud
67% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaSub-zero temperatures and moisture may leave icy patches on exposed rock. Rock may be damp or still drying. Gusts near 50 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor0/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (0/100). Recent rain may leave seepage and damp rock, especially on shaded sections. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 50 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Sub-zero temperatures and moisture may leave icy patches on exposed rock. Treat the route as a winter mountaineering proposition if deposits are present.
Rock surfaceDry overhead; seepage uncertainPeak gust52 mphRainPossible · 35%
Main factorsgusts around 50 mphdamp or incompletely dried rock possibleSub-zero temperatures and moisture may leave icy patches on exposed rock
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Thursday 24 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Wind15-25 mph southwesterlyGusts25-35 mphFeels like0 to 4°CPrecipitationAround 5-10 mmCloud-free summit estimate5%Cloud base through day500-1,000 mFreezing levelAbove summitDaylightSunrise 07:03 · Sunset 19:05 · 12.0 hours daylight
The day on the hill
A wet day with extensive summit cloud on Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 15-25 mph, with gusts 25-35 mph at times (a fresh breeze).
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 0-10 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 500–800 m in the morning, then around 700–1000 m around midday and 500–800 m by late afternoon. Summit cloud is likely, but brief clear spells remain possible if the cloud sits higher than expected.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.
Cloud may hang lower on southwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the northeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Any sunshine may be confined to lower ground or breaks away from the summit.
Drizzle is forecast for much of the day. The forecast total is around 5-10 mm, but local amounts will vary.
Forecast models differ on summit wind strength: around 13-29 mph at walker height, with gusts 18-40 mph.
Rain & temperature
The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Exposed tops may feel chilly in the wind.
A windproof layer will help, with an extra warm layer for stops. If clothing gets wet, you can cool more quickly.
Keep a dry warm layer protected. Summit wind could be roughly 13-29 mph, which changes how difficult exposed walking may feel.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 9.4 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Cloud may obscure this summit even while the surrounding model grid indicates sunshine. The low cloud-free summit estimate is a reason to be cautious about expecting views.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
MixedSummit winds around 10-25 mph. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground.
54/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
PoorMore rain is expected. Summit winds around 15-25 mph. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground. Rain is forecast during this period. Some forecast models bring rain during the afternoon, while others keep it mostly dry.
43/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaAbout 3.4 mm is forecast, with rain possible around pitching time.54/100Mixed · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Friday 25 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks mixed overall around 600 m (54/100). It may be breezy on open ground, with gusts near 20 mph. Peak gusts range from about 15 mph at 300 m to 20 mph at 900 m. Around 3.4 mm is forecast, including rain around pitching time. Pitches near 600 and 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 600 m. Ventilation will matter. The coldest temperature falls from about 7.4°C at 300 m to 5.6°C at 900 m.
Clear spells may allow a view of the Moon. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 25 Sep, 17:00 BST to 26 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m70/100 · reasonable
Wind / gust
9 mph / 15 mph
Typical / low
9.5°C / 7.4°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
600 m54/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
10 mph / 18 mph
Typical / low
9.4°C / 7.2°C · much of the night
In cloud
53% of modelled night
Condensation
High
900 m70/100 · reasonable
Wind / gust
12 mph / 21 mph
Typical / low
7.7°C / 5.6°C · much of the night
In cloud
47% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 4°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Gusts near 30 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor17/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (17/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 30 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.
Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust31 mphRain4.8 mm
Main factorsgusts around 30 mphwet rock likelymuch of the route may be in cloud
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Friday 25 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Wind15-30 mph southwesterlyGusts30-40 mphFeels like-8 to -4°CPrecipitationUp to around 2 mmCloud-free summit estimate95%Freezing level1,000-1,300 mDaylightSunrise 07:05 · Sunset 19:02 · 11.9 hours daylight
The day on the hill
On Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 15-30 mph, with gusts 30-40 mph at times (strong winds). Patchy mist is possible in sheltered valleys early on.
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 1800–2100 m around midday, lowering to 1500–1800 m by late afternoon. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.
Cloud may hang lower on southwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the northeastern side, but local terrain can differ.
Rain & temperature
Little or no rain is forecast. Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly -2 to 2°C, feeling around -8 to -4°C in the wind.
Forecast models disagree markedly on summit wind strength. Check again nearer the time.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Keep windproof and warm layers readily available.
Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges. Overall confidence is unavailable: insufficient comparable wind, rain guidance.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 10.9 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
ExcellentSummit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 20-30 mph are possible on exposed ground.
92/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
GoodSummit winds around 15-25 mph. Gusts around 25-35 mph are possible on exposed ground.
78/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaExposed camping is not recommended near 300, 600 and 900 m: gusts may reach about 60 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 40 mph at times. Choose an alternative off the exposed hill. Do not rely on finding shelter after setting out.9/100Poor · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Saturday 26 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Exposed camping is not recommended near 300, 600 and 900 m: gusts may reach about 60 mph. Sustained winds may reach about 40 mph at times. Choose an alternative off the exposed hill. Do not rely on finding shelter after setting out. Open-hillside camping looks very poor overall around 600 m (9/100). Peak gusts range from about 40 mph at 300 m to 60 mph at 900 m. A little rain may coincide with pitching or packing up. Pitches near 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 300, 600 and 900 m. Ventilation will matter.
Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 26 Sep, 17:00 BST to 27 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m19/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
25 mph / 42 mph
Typical / low
8.5°C / 8.3°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m9/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
30 mph / 50 mph
Typical / low
8.5°C / 8.3°C · much of the night
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
900 m9/100 · very poor
Wind / gust
35 mph / 59 mph
Typical / low
7.3°C / 6.9°C · much of the night
In cloud
73% of modelled night
Condensation
High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 6°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaSub-zero temperatures and moisture may leave icy patches on exposed rock. Rock may be damp or still drying. Gusts near 35 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor33/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (33/100). Some rock may still be damp or drying, especially on polished slabs and vegetated sections. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 35 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious. Sub-zero temperatures and moisture may leave icy patches on exposed rock. Treat the route as a winter mountaineering proposition if deposits are present.
Rock surfaceDamp or dryingPeak gust34 mphRain0.2 mm
Main factorsgusts around 35 mphdamp or incompletely dried rock possibleSub-zero temperatures and moisture may leave icy patches on exposed rock
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback →
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Lochnagar on Saturday 26 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Wind20-40 mph southwesterlyGusts45-55 mphFeels like-2 to 2°CPrecipitationAround 2-5 mmCloud-free summit estimate85%Cloud base through day1,300-1,900 mFreezing levelAbove summitDaylightSunrise 07:07 · Sunset 18:59 · 11.9 hours daylight
The day on the hill
Strong gusts on Lochnagar: summit wind broadly 20-40 mph, with gusts 45-55 mph at times (strong winds).
Wind & exposure
Much calmer lower down - generally 5-15 mph in the valley, rising towards the tops. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 1300–1600 m in the morning, lifting to 1600–1900 m around midday. The summit is likely to stay mostly clear.
Drizzle is forecast at times. The forecast total is around 2-5 mm, but local amounts will vary.
Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly 2 to 6°C, feeling around -2 to 2°C in the wind. Forecast models differ on summit wind strength.
Treat the wind figures as a guide. Keep windproof and warm layers readily available.
If clothing gets wet, you can cool more quickly. Keep a dry warm layer protected.
Forecast confidence
Overall confidence is unavailable: insufficient comparable wind, rain guidance.
Cloud-free timing: Around 40% early, improving to around 95% later.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 6.8 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Morning · 08:00–12:00
PoorSummit winds around 30-40 mph. Gusts around 45-55 mph are possible on exposed ground. Gusts may knock you off balance on exposed ground, even between spells of lighter wind. Summit cloud is more persistent early in this period, with better prospects later. Rain is forecast during this period.
32/100
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00
MixedWinds ease compared with the morning. Rain also eases. Summit winds around 20-30 mph. Gusts around 35-45 mph are possible on exposed ground. Buffeting may affect balance on exposed ground, particularly near ridges and edges. Rain is forecast during this period.
65/100
Compare an early start with later conditions. The main forecast above covers the day in more detail.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaGusts near 35 mph make meaningful shelter important.59/100Mixed · 600 mView detailsHide details
Night beginning Sunday 27 September 2026
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks mixed overall around 600 m (59/100). A lower pitch near 300 m looks more comfortable. Conditions are less suitable by 900 m. Open-ground gusts may reach about 35 mph. Seek meaningful shelter. Peak gusts range from about 25 mph at 300 m to 35 mph at 900 m. Little overnight rain is forecast. Pitches near 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 900 m. Ventilation will matter. The coldest temperature falls from about 4.7°C at 300 m to 3.2°C at 900 m. Around 600 m it looks cold for several hours, rather than only dipping briefly to 4.7°C.
Views of the Moon may come and go through cloud breaks. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 27 Sep, 17:00 BST to 28 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
300 m78/100 · promising
Wind / gust
16 mph / 25 mph
Typical / low
5.6°C / 4.7°C · several hours
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
600 m59/100 · mixed
Wind / gust
19 mph / 30 mph
Typical / low
5.6°C / 4.7°C · several hours
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
900 m39/100 · poor
Wind / gust
22 mph / 36 mph
Typical / low
3.8°C / 3.2°C · much of the night
In cloud
53% of modelled night
Condensation
High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 2°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
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Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Gusts near 50 mph may affect balance on exposed rock.Poor1/100View detailsHide details
Generic exposed-rock guidance
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look very poor (1/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Lochnagar Pluton, Phase 2). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Microgranite, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Gusts may reach about 50 mph. Crosswinds can make exposed ridges substantially more serious.
Rock surfaceWet rock likelyPeak gust51 mphRain3.0 mm
Main factorsgusts around 50 mphwet rock likely
Mapped rock across the summit and available routes
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Lochnagar
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
Mapped variation
2 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Summit mapping
LeucograniteLochnagar Pluton, Phase 2676–958 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS record →
Route sample
MicrograniteLochnagar Pluton1,052–1,146 m samplesSeen on Lochnagar, Lochnagar, Càrn a' Choire Bhòidheach, Càrn an t-Sagairt Mòr, Cairn Bannoch and Broad Cairn
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
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Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night.View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
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This is about Lochnagar on Sunday 27 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.