The day on the hill
Frequent summit cloud on Mullach nan Coirean: summit wind broadly 10-25 mph, with gusts 20-30 mph at times (a fresh breeze).
Things to watch
High spate risk during the morning, after earlier rain. Timings are approximate, not a guarantee of safe crossings afterwards. Burns and unbridged crossings may become difficult or impassable. Turn back if a crossing looks unsafe.
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 600–900 m in the morning, lifting to 800–1100 m around midday and 1000–1300 m by late afternoon. The top is likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of a view during the afternoon.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.
Cloud may hang lower on northwestern slopes and lift somewhat on the southeastern side, but local terrain can differ. Sunny spells are possible away from summit cloud, but may not reach the top while it is in cloud.
Rain & temperature
The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives.
Little or no rain is forecast. Cold on exposed tops: air temperature broadly 2 to 6°C, feeling around -4 to 0°C in the wind.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Keep windproof and warm layers readily available.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud, even where forecasts agree on the wider cloud cover.
Cloud-free timing: Around 15% early, improving to around 50% later.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 2.7 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
Cloud may obscure this summit even while the surrounding model grid indicates sunshine. The low cloud-free summit estimate is a reason to be cautious about expecting views.
- Early
- 0 h
- Midday
- Less than 1 hour
- Later
- 1.2 h
Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaGusts near 30 mph make meaningful shelter important. 72/100Good · 600 m View detailsHide details
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks reasonable overall around 600 m (72/100). A lower pitch near 300 m looks more comfortable. Conditions are less suitable by 900 m. Open-ground gusts may reach about 30 mph. Seek meaningful shelter. Peak gusts range from about 25 mph at 300 m to 30 mph at 900 m. Wind direction may change substantially during the night. Shelter that works at dusk may be less effective later. Little overnight rain is forecast. Pitches near 900 m may spend part of the night in cloud, bringing damp conditions and poor visibility while cloud is present. Condensation risk is high near 900 m. Ventilation will matter. The coldest temperature falls from about 5.8°C at 300 m to 4.2°C at 900 m.
Moon overnight
Waxing gibbous moon
- Illuminated disc
- 92%
- Moonrise
- 18:26 BST
- Moonset
- 04:02 next morning BST
Views of the Moon may come and go through cloud breaks. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 23 Sep, 17:00 BST to 24 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
- Wind / gust
- 9 mph / 23 mph
- Typical / low
- 6.2°C / 5.8°C · much of the night
- In cloud
- 0% of modelled night
- Condensation
- Moderate
- Wind / gust
- 11 mph / 26 mph
- Typical / low
- 6.2°C / 5.8°C · much of the night
- In cloud
- 0% of modelled night
- Condensation
- Moderate
- Wind / gust
- 13 mph / 30 mph
- Typical / low
- 4.4°C / 4.2°C · much of the night
- In cloud
- 53% of modelled night
- Condensation
- High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 3-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 2°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
The ground is likely to be very wet after recent rain. Expect boggy approaches and choose a durable pitch carefully.
Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaRock may be damp or still drying. Poor30/100 View detailsHide details
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (30/100). Recent rain may leave seepage and damp rock, especially on shaded sections. The mapped summit rock is Leucogranite (Mullach Nan Coirean Pluton). Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Representative samples along available mapped routes also include Pelite and calcsilicate-rock, Metaquartz-arenite and 1 other mapped type, so rock character and wet-weather behaviour may change across the mountain. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery. Summit-point mapping plus representative BGS bedrock samples along available GPX routes. These are not continuous geological surveys; contacts, superficial deposits and the exposed rock on individual holds may differ.
Rock groups along the sampled routes
These are mapped rock groups, not separate weather forecasts or a ranking of route safety.
Stob Bàn (Mamores) and Mullach nan Coirean
psammite, pelite or semipelite, sandstone or gritstone, granite, gneiss or gabbro
Geological detail and BGS records
4 rock types appear across the available route samples
The summit type remains the forecast's cautious rock-response reference. Other mapped types show where conditions may behave differently elsewhere on the mountain.
Generally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS recordDry quartz-rich bands can be grippy, while mica-rich or foliated sections, lichen and vegetation may become slippery when wet.
BGS recordUsually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully.
BGS recordGenerally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.
BGS recordGeneric exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Mullach nan Coirean on Wednesday 23 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Open the questions to take part.
About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead


