The day on the hill
Frequent summit cloud on Pen Pumlumon Llygad-bychan: summit wind broadly 5-15 mph, with gusts 10-20 mph at times (light winds).
Cloud & views
Cloud base around 900–1200 m in the morning, lowering to 700–1000 m around midday and 600–900 m by late afternoon. Cloud is likely to cover the top for much of the day, though a brief clearance is possible early in the morning.
Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud. Clear spells may be difficult to time.
Any sunshine may be confined to lower ground or breaks away from the summit. Drizzle is forecast at times.
The forecast total is up to around 2 mm, but local amounts will vary.
Forecast confidence
Cloud height remains uncertain, especially where it is close to summit level. Cloud-height uncertainty could put the summit in or out of cloud, even where forecasts agree on the wider cloud cover.
Cloud-free timing: Around 70% early, falling to around 45% later.
Sunshine context Model-grid estimate, not summit sunshine
The surrounding model grid indicates 1.2 h of sunshine. This is not a forecast of time in sunshine on the summit. Use the cloud and views outlook above for the conditions on this mountain.
- Early
- 1.2 h
- Midday
- 0 h
- Later
- 0 h
Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaAbout 1.4 mm is forecast, with rain possible around pitching time. 64/100Mixed · 600 m View detailsHide details
Full overnight outlook
Open-hillside camping looks reasonable overall around 600 m (64/100). Light winds are expected on open ground, though local shelter and exposure still matter. Around 1.4 mm is forecast, including rain around pitching time. Condensation risk is high near 300 and 600 m, so a wet pack-up is possible. Ventilation will matter.
Moon overnight
Waxing gibbous moon
- Illuminated disc
- 78%
- Moonrise
- 17:35 BST
- Moonset
- 01:33 next morning BST
Extensive cloud may limit moonlight. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 21 Sep, 17:00 BST to 22 Sep, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Elevation reference (open ground)
- Wind / gust
- 9 mph / 14 mph
- Typical / low
- 12.4°C / 12.0°C
- In cloud
- 0% of modelled night
- Condensation
- High
- Wind / gust
- 10 mph / 17 mph
- Typical / low
- 12.4°C / 12.0°C
- In cloud
- 0% of modelled night
- Condensation
- High
Warmth planning: As a broad starting point, consider a 2-season bag with an ISO/EN comfort rating at or below about 10°C. Allow more margin if you sleep cold or expect fatigue, and use an adequate insulated mat. Dampness is possible, so keep the sleep system dry and ensure its insulation remains effective if damp.
Open-hillside reference. A sheltered pitch may be calmer; cols and ridges may be much windier. Tent design and the exact pitch still matter. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.
Did this match your night?Share a quick observation to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaWet rock is likely. Poor29/100 View detailsHide details
Full climbing & scrambling outlook
Conditions for exposed scrambling look poor (29/100). Rain during the climbing period is likely to leave rock wet and more slippery. The mapped summit rock is Slumped mudstone, slumped siltstone and slumped sandstone (Drosgol Formation). Usually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully. Cloud may also make route-finding and retreat harder.
Usually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully. Summit-point bedrock mapping; the actual route may cross different rock, superficial deposits, polish, lichen or seepage.
Generic exposed scrambling terrain; mapped summit-point bedrock is included where available, but route grade, exact rock, polish, drainage and escape options remain unresolved. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.
Did this match your experience?Tell us about the rock surface and wind to help improve this beta forecast.Give feedback
Overnight · Aurora, stars & meteorsAfter darkBetaNight-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. View forecastClose forecast
After dark: aurora and stargazing
Night-sky guidance is unavailable for this night. This does not mean clear skies or no aurora.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Pen Pumlumon Llygad-bychan on Monday 21 September 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Open the questions to take part.
About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead


