Lake District mountain weather forecast.

The Lakeland fells. Height-aware guidance for wind, cloud, rain and temperature.

Mountain Weather brief

Lake District

Monday 19 October 2026 · The Lakeland fells

Confidence: Medium Why?

Uncertainty over high-ground wind strength. Uncertainty over sky cloud cover and sunshine.

What matters most

A fine day in the Lake District: dry, with light winds.

High-ground wind · 800 m10-20 mph southeasterly Gusts · 800 m10-20 mph Cloud base500-900 m Feels like · 800 m-6 to -2°C
Regional median

Sunshine and sky

Less sunshine later. Sunshine is indicated less often later in the day.

Modelled sunshine8.7 h79% of daylight
Early2 h sunshine
Midday3.3 h sunshine
Later2 h sunshine

These are direct modelled sunshine hours during daylight, not the probability of sunshine. Cloud cover and summit cloud are assessed separately in the forecast above. The regional median prevents one unusually bright or dull summit cell defining the whole area.

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00ExcellentSummit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 10-20 mph are possible on exposed ground. Summit cloud becomes more persistent later.
96
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00GoodSummit winds around 10-20 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground. Summit cloud is more persistent early in this period, with better prospects later.
80

Conservative regional grades across representative summits, so one sheltered hill does not overstate the wider area.

01

High-ground wind (800 m)

At around 800 m, expect a south-easterly wind of 10–20 mph, gusting 10–20 mph.

02

Walking impact

Noticeable on exposed ground, but unlikely to impede most walking.

03

Rain and showers

It should stay dry.

04

Cloud-free summits

Clear-summit estimate: about 90% early, about 45% around midday and about 90% later.

05

Cloud and visibility

The tops are likely to drift in and out of cloud, with the best chance of clear tops early in the morning. The cloud base could be as low as 600–800 m around midday. Mist or fog is possible in some valleys early on. Good spells of sunshine are likely.

06

Temperature and wind chill

At around 800 m it will be 0 to 4°C, feeling like -6 to -2°C in the wind. Take a hat, gloves, a windproof and a spare warm layer.

07

Freezing level

The freezing level is close to summit height.

08

Daylight

Sunrise 07:48, Sunset 18:06, about 10.3 hours daylight.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaAcross these hills, a mixed night to camp, mainly because of the wind: gusts of about 30 mph. 59Mixed · 600 m View detailsHide details
Regional night beginning Monday 19 October 2026

Full regional overnight outlook

Across these hills, a mixed night to camp, mainly because of the wind. Gusts reach about 30 mph on open ground, so peg out well and use the guylines. Look for shelter from the southeast. A little rain is forecast overnight. Up around 900 m you'd likely be in cloud for part of the night: damp, and hard to find your way if you need to move. The air is damp up around 900 m, so expect heavy condensation. Leave the vents open. A cold night, down to about 3°C around 900 m.

Overnight rain0.3 mmOpen ground · 600 m13 mph · gusts 25 mphMorning pack-upDampness possible

Moon overnight

Waxing gibbous moon

Illuminated disc
63%
Moonrise
Outside this window
Moonset
00:18 next morning BST

Cloud and terrain vary across the area. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 19 Oct, 17:00 BST to 20 Oct, 08:00 BST. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

Representative location: 54.454, -3.212. Times vary across the area.

300 m80 · promising
Wind / gust
11 mph / 21 mph
Coldest
7.2°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
600 m59 · mixed
Wind / gust
13 mph / 25 mph
Coldest
7.2°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate
900 m59 · mixed
Wind / gust
15 mph / 30 mph
Coldest
2.8°C
In cloud
40% of modelled night
Condensation
High

Open-hillside guidance across representative hills. Local shelter, ridges, tent design and the exact pitch can change conditions substantially. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaCloud may complicate route-finding and retreat. 86Excellent · Good View detailsHide details
Regional rock conditions · sampled mountain terrain

Regional climbing & scrambling outlook

A broad guide to dampness and exposed rock across the area, not a forecast for every crag. Lower, sheltered crags and individual rock types may behave differently.

Conditions for exposed scrambling across the area look good (86/100). Rock is likely to be mostly dry, though local seepage and shaded holds remain unresolved. Mapped summit-point geology across the representative hills includes volcanic rock, sandstone or gritstone and slate or mudstone. Rock can therefore respond differently to moisture between crags and routes.

Rock surfaceProbably dryExposed gust19 mphRain0.0 mm
Mapped rock across sampled summits4 broad familiesSummit samples, not a survey of every crag
volcanic rock 50% 4 representative summitsOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.sandstone or gritstone 25% 2 representative summitsUsually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully.slate or mudstone 12% 1 representative summitOften positive when dry, but smooth, polished or slabby sections can become markedly more slippery when damp.unclassified rock 12% 1 representative summitGrip and drying behaviour are not well resolved here; treat damp rock conservatively and check the surface directly.

Representative summit-point samples across the region; individual crags and routes may differ.

Generic exposed hands-on-rock terrain across representative summits; mapped summit-point geology is a broad regional sample, not a named-route survey. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

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Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Lake District on Monday 19 October 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

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Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.

Updated 15 October 2026 at 15:29 UTC. See typical weekly and monthly conditions for Lake District.

More context for your hill day

Check the approach as well as the tops

Compare midge conditions by day and height, or look for a possible cloud inversion. For Snowdon and Tryfan, camera-derived cloud-base observations add a view of conditions already seen on the slopes.