Southern Scotland mountain weather forecast.

Mon 16 Nov on the hillsA fine day in Southern Scotland: dry, with light winds and clear tops for most of the day, though expect a bitter wind chill. See wind, cloud base and timings

Mountain Weather brief

Southern Scotland

Monday 16 November 2026 · Galloway, the Borders and the Southern Uplands

Confidence: Medium Why?

Uncertainty over sky cloud cover and sunshine.

What matters most

A fine day in Southern Scotland: dry, with light winds and clear tops for most of the day, though expect a bitter wind chill.

High-ground wind · 600 m10-20 mph northeasterly Gusts · 600 m10-20 mph Cloud base1100-1400 m Feels like · 600 m-12 to -8°C
Regional median

Sunshine and sky

Cloud becoming more extensive. Cloud cover is likely to increase as sunshine becomes less frequent.

Modelled sunshine7.1 h78% of daylight
Early1.9 h sunshine
Midday3.9 h sunshine
Later0 h sunshine

These are direct modelled sunshine hours during daylight, not the probability of sunshine. Cloud cover and summit cloud are assessed separately in the forecast above. The regional median prevents one unusually bright or dull summit cell defining the whole area.

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00ExcellentSummit winds around 5-20 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground. Some early summit cloud is possible.
92
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00ExcellentSummit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 15-25 mph are possible on exposed ground.
94

Conservative regional grades across representative summits, so one sheltered hill does not overstate the wider area.

01

High-ground wind (600 m)

At around 600 m, expect a north-easterly wind of 10–20 mph, gusting 10–20 mph.

02

Walking impact

Noticeable on exposed ground, but unlikely to impede most walking.

03

Ground conditions

The ground is likely to be saturated after recent rain. Expect boggy paths and rapid runoff if more rain arrives.

04

Rain and showers

It should stay dry.

05

Cloud-free summits

Clear-summit estimate: about 80% early, about 85% around midday and about 85% later.

06

Cloud and visibility

The tops should stay mostly clear of cloud. Good spells of sunshine are likely. The air should be clear, so expect far-reaching views as long as the tops stay clear.

07

Temperature and wind chill

At around 600 m it will be -4 to 0°C, feeling like -12 to -8°C in the wind. Hat, gloves and a warm insulated layer are essential, with extra warmth for stops.

08

Freezing level

The freezing level is around 200–500 m, so it will be below freezing on the tops.

09

Daylight

Sunrise 07:50, Sunset 16:09, about 8.3 hours daylight.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaNot a night to camp on the open hill anywhere in this area: gusts of about 65 mph and around 16 mm of rain. 0Poor · 600 m View detailsHide details
Regional night beginning Monday 16 November 2026

Full regional overnight outlook

Not a night to camp on the open hill anywhere in this area. Gusts reach about 65 mph around 600 m and nearer 50 mph around 300 m, strong enough to flatten or tear a tent. Check the forecast for the hill and height you have in mind, and don't assume lower ground will be sheltered. About 16 mm of rain is forecast overnight. Up around 600 m you'd likely be in cloud for part of the night: damp, and hard to find your way if you need to move. A frost at every height we checked (300-600 m), down to about -3°C. The ground will be sodden after recent rain, so pick a firm, well-drained pitch.

Overnight rain15.6 mmOpen ground · 600 m35 mph · gusts 63 mphMorning pack-upDampness possible

Moon overnight

First-quarter moon

Illuminated disc
46%
Moonrise
Outside this window
Moonset
22:20 GMT

Cloud and terrain vary across the area. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.

Overnight window: 16 Nov, 17:00 GMT to 17 Nov, 08:00 GMT. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.

Representative location: 55.139, -4.468. Times vary across the area.

300 m9 · very poor
Wind / gust
29 mph / 52 mph
Coldest
-0.7°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
Low
600 m0 · very poor
Wind / gust
35 mph / 63 mph
Coldest
-2.7°C
In cloud
27% of modelled night
Condensation
Moderate

The ground is likely to be very wet after recent rain. Expect boggy approaches and choose a durable pitch carefully.

Open-hillside guidance across representative hills. Local shelter, ridges, tent design and the exact pitch can change conditions substantially. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaSnow is likely to be lying on some high ground. Scrambling may require winter mountaineering skills and equipment. Rock may be damp or still drying. 9Poor · Very poor View detailsHide details
Regional rock conditions · sampled mountain terrain

Regional climbing & scrambling outlook

A broad guide to dampness and exposed rock across the area, not a forecast for every crag. Lower, sheltered crags and individual rock types may behave differently.

Conditions for exposed scrambling across the area look very poor (9/100). Some rock may remain damp or incompletely dried, especially in shade and seepage lines. Gusts may reach about 30 mph on exposed ground, making crosswinds an important route consideration. Mapped summit-point geology across the representative hills includes sandstone or gritstone and granite, gneiss or gabbro. Rock can therefore respond differently to moisture between crags and routes.

Rock surfaceDry overhead; seepage uncertainExposed gust28 mphRainPossible · 62%
Mapped rock across sampled summits2 broad familiesSummit samples, not a survey of every crag
sandstone or gritstone 86% 6 representative summitsUsually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully.granite, gneiss or gabbro 14% 1 representative summitGenerally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.

Representative summit-point samples across the region; individual crags and routes may differ.

Generic exposed hands-on-rock terrain across representative summits; mapped summit-point geology is a broad regional sample, not a named-route survey. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

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Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.

This is about Southern Scotland on Monday 16 November 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.

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Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.

Updated 14 November 2026 at 16:37 UTC. See typical weekly and monthly conditions for Southern Scotland.

More context for your hill day

Check the approach as well as the tops

Compare midge conditions by day and height, or look for a possible cloud inversion. For Snowdon and Tryfan, camera-derived cloud-base observations add a view of conditions already seen on the slopes.