Mid Wales and Cambrian Mountains
A good day in Mid Wales and the Cambrian Mountains: dry, with light winds.
Sunshine and sky
Cloud becoming more extensive. Cloud cover is likely to increase as sunshine becomes less frequent.
These are direct modelled sunshine hours during daylight, not the probability of sunshine. Cloud cover and summit cloud are assessed separately in the forecast above. The regional median prevents one unusually bright or dull summit cell defining the whole area.
Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.
High-ground wind (700 m)
At around 700 m, expect a north-westerly wind of 10–20 mph, gusting 10–20 mph.
Walking impact
Noticeable on exposed ground, but unlikely to impede most walking.
Rain and showers
Dry through the daylight hours, but snow arrives after dark. Rain is possible during the afternoon, but forecast models disagree on whether it will fall. Some forecast models bring rain during the afternoon, while others keep it mostly dry.
Cloud-free summits
Clear-summit estimate: about 65% early, about 70% around midday and about 80% later.
Cloud and visibility
The tops should stay mostly clear of cloud. Some forecast models are much cloudier overhead. That may limit sunshine without putting the summits in cloud. The air should be clear, so expect far-reaching views as long as the tops stay clear.
Temperature and wind chill
At around 700 m it will be -2 to 2°C, feeling like -10 to -6°C in the wind. Take a hat, gloves, a windproof and a spare warm layer.
Freezing level
The freezing level is around 600–700 m, so it will be below freezing on the tops.
Daylight
Sunrise 07:37, Sunset 16:20, about 8.7 hours daylight.
Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaNot a night to camp on the open hill anywhere in this area: gusts of about 70 mph and heavy rain, around 35 mm. 9Poor · 600 m View detailsHide details
Full regional overnight outlook
Not a night to camp on the open hill anywhere in this area. Gusts reach about 70 mph around 900 m and nearer 40 mph around 300 m, strong enough to flatten or tear a tent. Check the forecast for the hill and height you have in mind, and don't assume lower ground will be sheltered. About 36 mm of rain is forecast overnight. At every height we checked (300-900 m) you'd likely be in cloud for part of the night: damp, and hard to find your way if you need to move. A frost above about 600 m, down to about -3°C.
Moon overnight
First-quarter moon
- Illuminated disc
- 46%
- Moonrise
- Outside this window
- Moonset
- 22:26 GMT
Cloud and terrain vary across the area. Illumination describes the sunlit part of the Moon, not brightness at your pitch.
Overnight window: 16 Nov, 17:00 GMT to 17 Nov, 08:00 GMT. Approximate open-horizon times; hills can hide the Moon. Still take a headtorch.
Representative location: 52.787, -3.688. Times vary across the area.
Elevation reference (open ground)
- Wind / gust
- 21 mph / 42 mph
- Coldest
- 0.6°C
- In cloud
- 60% of modelled night
- Condensation
- High
- Wind / gust
- 26 mph / 51 mph
- Coldest
- -1.0°C
- In cloud
- 67% of modelled night
- Condensation
- High
- Wind / gust
- 34 mph / 68 mph
- Coldest
- -3.3°C
- In cloud
- 73% of modelled night
- Condensation
- High
Open-hillside guidance across representative hills. Local shelter, ridges, tent design and the exact pitch can change conditions substantially. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.
Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaSnow is likely to be lying on some high ground, with further snowfall possible. Wet rock is likely. 0Poor · Very poor View detailsHide details
Regional climbing & scrambling outlook
A broad guide to dampness and exposed rock across the area, not a forecast for every crag. Lower, sheltered crags and individual rock types may behave differently.
Conditions for exposed scrambling across the area look very poor (0/100). Rain is likely to leave rock wet. Polished slabs, vegetation and drainage lines may be notably worse. Mapped summit-point geology across the representative hills includes volcanic rock, granite, gneiss or gabbro and sandstone or gritstone. Rock can therefore respond differently to moisture between crags and routes.
Representative summit-point samples across the region; individual crags and routes may differ.
Generic exposed hands-on-rock terrain across representative summits; mapped summit-point geology is a broad regional sample, not a named-route survey. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.
Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit
For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.
Does the weather shape your plans?Optional hill-user research. One answer helps; further questions are up to you.Take part
Help the Mountain Decisions Project understand how forecasts influence hill days, including when plans stay the same. Findings will be shared publicly as summaries, not individual responses.
This is about Mid Wales and Cambrian Mountains on Monday 16 November 2026. It asks about intentions, not whether you actually went out. No name or account is needed.
Open the questions to take part.
About the research and your privacy · Already been out? Share that experience instead
Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.
Updated 14 November 2026 at 16:37 UTC. See typical weekly and monthly conditions for Mid Wales and Cambrian Mountains.