Mid Wales and Cambrian Mountains mountain weather forecast.

Cadair Idris, Pumlumon and the central Welsh hills. Height-aware guidance for wind, cloud, rain and temperature.

Mountain Weather brief

Mid Wales and Cambrian Mountains

Sunday 11 October 2026 · Cadair Idris, Pumlumon and the central Welsh hills

Confidence: Medium Why?

Uncertainty over sky cloud cover and sunshine.

What matters most

A good day in Mid Wales and the Cambrian Mountains: dry, with light winds and clear tops for most of the day.

High-ground wind · 700 m10-20 mph southwesterly Gusts · 700 m15-25 mph Cloud base700-1200 m Feels like · 700 m-2 to 2°C
Regional median

Sunshine and sky

Cloud breaking up. Brighter spells should become more frequent as cloud breaks.

Modelled sunshine6 h55% of daylight
Early0 h sunshine
Midday2.3 h sunshine
Later1.7 h sunshine

These are direct modelled sunshine hours during daylight, not the probability of sunshine. Cloud cover and summit cloud are assessed separately in the forecast above. The regional median prevents one unusually bright or dull summit cell defining the whole area.

Overnight forecast: 17:00–08:00 (UK local time), in Wild camping below.

Morning · 08:00–12:00GoodSummit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 10-20 mph are possible on exposed ground. Summit cloud becomes more persistent later. Rain is possible during the main walking period, but its timing may shift by several hours.
74
Afternoon · 12:00–17:00ExcellentSummit winds around 5-15 mph. Gusts around 10-20 mph are possible on exposed ground. Summit cloud is more likely to break later. Rain is possible during the main walking period, but its timing may shift by several hours.
90

Conservative regional grades across representative summits, so one sheltered hill does not overstate the wider area.

01

High-ground wind (700 m)

At around 700 m, expect a south-westerly wind of 10–20 mph, gusting 15–25 mph.

02

Walking impact

Noticeable on exposed ground, but unlikely to impede most walking.

03

Ground conditions

The ground is likely to be wet after recent rain.

04

Rain and showers

Mostly dry. Rain is possible during the main walking period, but its timing may shift by several hours. The timing may shift by a few hours.

05

Cloud-free summits

Clear-summit estimate: about 45% early, about 90% around midday and about 90% later.

06

Cloud and visibility

The tops should stay mostly clear of cloud. The cloud base could be as low as 500–800 m mid-morning. Some forecast models are much cloudier overhead. That may limit sunshine without putting the summits in cloud. It will look largely cloudy overhead, but that cloud should mostly stay above the tops. The air should be clear, so expect far-reaching views as long as the tops stay clear.

07

Temperature and wind chill

At around 700 m it will be 4 to 8°C, feeling like -2 to 2°C in the wind. It turns milder through the day. Take a hat, gloves, a windproof and a spare warm layer.

08

Freezing level

The freezing level is above the summits.

09

Daylight

Sunrise 07:32, Sunset 18:29, about 10.9 hours daylight.

Overnight · 17:00–08:00Wild campingBetaToo windy for an exposed pitch above about 600 m on some hills (gusts of about 45 mph). Lower down, a mixed night to camp, mainly because of the wind. 34Poor · 600 m View detailsHide details
Regional night beginning Sunday 11 October 2026

Full regional overnight outlook

Too windy for an exposed pitch above about 600 m on some hills. Lower down, a mixed night to camp, mainly because of the wind. Gusts reach about 45 mph around 900 m and nearer 30 mph around 300 m, enough to damage a tent on open ground. Check the forecast for the hill and height you have in mind, and don't assume lower ground will be sheltered. Some light rain is forecast overnight. Above about 600 m you'd likely be in cloud for part of the night: damp, and hard to find your way if you need to move. The air is damp at every height we checked (300-900 m), so expect heavy condensation. Leave the vents open. Overnight lows of about 6°C at 900 m. The moon won't be up after dark, so there will be no moonlight.

Overnight rain1.9 mmOpen ground · 600 m20 mph · gusts 36 mphMorning pack-upDampness possible
300 m54 · mixed
Wind / gust
16 mph / 30 mph
Coldest
9.1°C
In cloud
0% of modelled night
Condensation
High
600 m34 · poor
Wind / gust
20 mph / 36 mph
Coldest
8.6°C
In cloud
58% of modelled night
Condensation
High
900 m19 · very poor
Wind / gust
25 mph / 46 mph
Coldest
6.4°C
In cloud
73% of modelled night
Condensation
High

Open-hillside guidance across representative hills. Local shelter, ridges, tent design and the exact pitch can change conditions substantially. Read about sleeping-bag comfort ratings, pitching in strong winds or using the wild-camping forecast.

Daytime · exposed rockClimbing & scramblingBetaRock may be damp or still drying. 74Good · Fair View detailsHide details
Regional rock conditions · sampled mountain terrain

Regional climbing & scrambling outlook

A broad guide to dampness and exposed rock across the area, not a forecast for every crag. Lower, sheltered crags and individual rock types may behave differently.

Conditions for exposed scrambling across the area look fair (74/100). Some rock may remain damp or incompletely dried, especially in shade and seepage lines. Mapped summit-point geology across the representative hills includes volcanic rock, granite, gneiss or gabbro and sandstone or gritstone. Rock can therefore respond differently to moisture between crags and routes.

Rock surfaceDry overhead; seepage uncertainExposed gust20 mphRainPossible · 29%
Mapped rock across sampled summits3 broad familiesSummit samples, not a survey of every crag
volcanic rock 50% 4 representative summitsOften grippy when dry, but volcanic rocks vary widely; wet lichen, smooth holds and local seepage can still make them slippery.granite, gneiss or gabbro 25% 2 representative summitsGenerally grippy when dry and often still positive when damp, but wet slabs, lichen, polish and drainage lines can remain slippery.sandstone or gritstone 25% 2 representative summitsUsually rough and grippy when dry. Damp sandstone and gritstone can feel greasy, and saturated sandstone may be weakened, so let the rock dry fully.

Representative summit-point samples across the region; individual crags and routes may differ.

Generic exposed hands-on-rock terrain across representative summits; mapped summit-point geology is a broad regional sample, not a named-route survey. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026. How to use the climbing and scrambling forecast.

Recommended kit for this dayWeather-aware packing prompts, plus your core hillwalking kitView kit

For a day hillwalk, not a complete route-specific checklist. Carry navigation and backup you can use, warm and waterproof layers, suitable footwear, food and water, a headtorch, emergency shelter, first aid and a way to call for help. Snow, ice, technical terrain and overnight trips need additional equipment and skills.

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Weather data: Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). Adapted by Mountain Weather.

Updated 11 October 2026 at 16:11 UTC. See typical weekly and monthly conditions for Mid Wales and Cambrian Mountains.

More context for your hill day

Check the approach as well as the tops

Compare midge conditions by day and height, or look for a possible cloud inversion. For Snowdon and Tryfan, camera-derived cloud-base observations add a view of conditions already seen on the slopes.